Liberals, New Democrats twice as likely as CPC voters to say they’ll vote by mail if able
The interruption of summer reverie, brought to Canadians by political volunteers acting on behalf of their leaders, is already underway.
Robo-texts from party chatbots asking who they’ll support. Phone calls from real people asking households whether they’ll take campaign signs. While the writs have yet to be dropped, a summer election campaign is already in first gear.
Against this backdrop, new data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute shows that voters aren’t exactly enamoured with their choices for Prime Minister.
NDP leader Jagmeet Singh has the highest favourability, with 46 per cent viewing him positively, but only one-third of Canadians believe he would be a good or excellent Prime Minister.
A similar gap exists for current Prime Minister and Liberal party leader Justin Trudeau. Just under two-in-five (37%) are favourable towards him, while three-in-ten think he’s a good candidate for another term on the job. One-quarter think Conservative leader Erin O’Toole would be good or excellent in the top role, while slightly fewer view him favourably.
Meanwhile, vote intention remains tight, with the Liberals holding a three-point advantage over the opposition Conservatives. One-in-five say they will support the NDP.
With the expectation of pandemic precautions affecting how voters cast their ballots, there may be an advantage for centre-left parties. Elections Canada has signalled that they will be encouraging Canadians to vote by mail if that is their preference and are working towards increasing the country’s capacity to do so throughout the campaign. Asked about their preferred method of voting, those who say they will support the Liberals or New Democrats are twice as likely as Conservative voters to also say they’d rather vote by mail.
More Key Findings:
- Among their own supporters, 68 per cent each respectively say Erin O’Toole and Justin Trudeau would make good or excellent Prime Ministers. Jagmeet Singh is at 78 per cent on this measure among his own would-be voters
- The Liberals maintain key leads in Ontario and Quebec. British Columbia appears extremely competitive as the Liberals, Conservatives, and NDP all garner more than 26 per cent support. Meanwhile, the CPC stronghold in Alberta and Saskatchewan holds firm
- Voters under the age of 55 are much more likely to heap praise on Singh personally, while also giving him the edge as a potential “good” or “excellent” PM over Justin Trudeau or Erin O’Toole